Toulouse vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 19 May, 21:00
Toulouse
03 Full time
Brest
Toulouse 0–3 Brest

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 25%
Away 42%

💡 Brest have a slight edge — leaning Brest, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1514 v 1566 Brest rated higher
Form Index WDWLW v LLWDD Toulouse 2.0 · Brest 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Brest

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Why we predict this

  • Brest is the stronger side on Power Rating (1566 vs 1514).
  • Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseWDWLW2.0 ppg
BrestLLWDD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1514
Brest1566
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 27% · 47%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning39% · 19% · 42%

AI match preview

Toulouse and Brest are set for a competitive Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving the visitors a slight edge at 42% to claim victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 25%. Expected goals suggest an open game with Brest marginally more potent offensively (1.65 expected goals to Toulouse’s 1.18), and a 1-1 draw stands out as the most likely scoreline. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities just over 50%, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.65

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Toulouse 0–3 Brest
Oct 2023 Brest 1–1 Toulouse