Lille vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Fri 17 Jan, 20:05
Lille
21 Full time
Nice
Lille 2–1 Nice

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 24%
Away 29%

💡 Lille are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1561 v 1559 Lille rated higher
Form Index DWDDD v LWDWW Lille 1.4 · Nice 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lille v Nice

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1561 vs 1559).
  • Nice is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Nice
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Nice. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleDWDDD1.4 ppg
NiceLWDWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1561
Nice1559
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 27% · 32%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning47% · 16% · 37%

AI match preview

Lille and Nice face off in a closely matched Ligue 1 clash, with Lille slightly favored at 47% to claim victory compared to Nice's 29%, while a draw sits at 24%. The expected goals tally suggests a tight encounter, with Lille edging it at 1.66 to 1.43, yet the most probable scoreline remains a 1-1 stalemate. Given a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.43

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Season averages (per game · last 102+ matches)

LilleNice
5.3 Corners 5.2
2.3 Cards 2.0
11.3 Fouls 11.9

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Lille 2–1 Nice
Nov 2024 Nice 2–2 Lille