Lyon vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 18 Jan, 20:05
Lyon
00 Full time
Toulouse
Lyon 0–0 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 24%
Away 23%

💡 Lyon are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1546 v 1508 Lyon rated higher
Form Index WWLWL v WLWWL Lyon 1.8 · Toulouse 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lyon v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1546 vs 1508).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonWWLWL1.8 ppg
ToulouseWLWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1546
Toulouse1508
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 28% · 25%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning60% · 23% · 18%

AI match preview

Lyon holds a slight edge over Toulouse with a 53% chance of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.58 to 1.11. Despite this, the model suggests a closely contested match, with a 24% probability of a draw and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter, though outcomes remain uncertain—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.11

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Lyon 0–0 Toulouse
Sept 2024 Toulouse 1–2 Lyon