St Etienne vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 19 Jan, 14:00
St Etienne
11 Full time
Nantes
St Etienne 1–1 Nantes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 27%
Away 34%

💡 St Etienne have a slight edge — leaning St Etienne, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1428 v 1452 Nantes rated higher
Form Index LLLWL v DWLDD St Etienne 0.6 · Nantes 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1428 vs 1452).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nantes
Form Index
Nantes
Goal expectation
St Etienne
Home advantage
St Etienne

Green = favours St Etienne · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St EtienneLLLWL0.6 ppg
NantesDWLDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
St Etienne1428
Nantes1452
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 30% · 23%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning50% · 22% · 28%

AI match preview

St Etienne host Nantes in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 39% chance of victory, though a draw (27%) or away win (34%) remain well within reach. The model projects 1.45 expected goals for St Etienne against 0.95 for Nantes, suggesting a closely contested match with a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. With just under half the games seeing both teams score and less than half expected to exceed 2.5 goals, this encounter could hinge on fine margins—remember, these statistical projections are probabilistic and to be enjoyed responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.45 – 0.95

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 St Etienne 1–1 Nantes
Sept 2024 Nantes 2–2 St Etienne