Angers vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 19 Jan, 16:15
Angers
20 Full time
Auxerre
Angers 2–0 Auxerre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 31%
Away 32%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1469 v 1490 Auxerre rated higher
Form Index WLLWW v LDDLD Angers 1.8 · Auxerre 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1469 vs 1490).
  • Angers is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Auxerre
Form Index
Angers
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Angers

Green = favours Angers · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AngersWLLWW1.8 ppg
AuxerreLDDLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Angers1469
Auxerre1490
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 23% · 38%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning15% · 53% · 32%

AI match preview

Angers and Auxerre are set for a tightly contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 31% probability and a confidence level of 38.5/100. Both teams are projected to score nearly equally, with expected goals close to 1.9 each, pointing towards a likely 1-1 stalemate. Additionally, there's a strong statistical indication of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, each at 74%, suggesting an open and competitive match. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.94 – 1.92

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 74%

Under 26%

Both teams to score

Yes 74%

No 26%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Angers 2–0 Auxerre
Nov 2024 Auxerre 1–0 Angers