Auxerre vs St Etienne Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Fri 24 Jan, 19:45
Auxerre
11 Full time
St Etienne
Auxerre 1–1 St Etienne

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (62%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 62%
Draw 20%
Away 19%

💡 Auxerre are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 73.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 73.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1476 v 1427 Auxerre rated higher
Form Index DDLDL v LLWLD Auxerre 0.6 · St Etienne 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Auxerre v St Etienne

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Why we predict this

  • Auxerre is the stronger side on Power Rating (1476 vs 1427).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Auxerre
Form Index
St Etienne
Goal expectation
Auxerre
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours St Etienne. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreDDLDL0.6 ppg
St EtienneLLWLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1476
St Etienne1427
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model82% · 13% · 5%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning89% · 7% · 4%

AI match preview

Auxerre enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong statistical edge, holding a 62% chance of securing a home win against St Etienne, who are projected to struggle offensively with just 0.57 expected goals. The model predicts a 2-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome, supported by a 73.2/100 confidence rating in Auxerre’s victory. With a 65% likelihood of over 2.5 goals but only 42% chance of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging match, though these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.75 – 0.57

Most likely score

2-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Auxerre 1–1 St Etienne
Oct 2024 St Etienne 3–1 Auxerre