Toulouse vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 26 Jan, 16:15
Toulouse
12 Full time
Montpellier
Toulouse 1–2 Montpellier

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 20%
Away 17%

💡 Toulouse are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 75.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1511 v 1392 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index LWWLD v LDLLW Toulouse 1.4 · Montpellier 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Montpellier

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Why we predict this

  • Toulouse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1511 vs 1392).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Montpellier. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseLWWLD1.4 ppg
MontpellierLDLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1511
Montpellier1392
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model70% · 23% · 8%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning76% · 11% · 13%

AI match preview

Toulouse enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 63% probability of securing a home win against Montpellier, backed by a solid expected goals advantage of 1.88 to 0.50. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with moderate chances for over 2.5 goals (42%) and both teams to score (35%). Remember, these projections are based on statistical analysis and should be used responsibly when considering any bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.88 – 0.50

Most likely score

2-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Toulouse 1–2 Montpellier
Oct 2024 Montpellier 0–3 Toulouse