Nice vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 26 Jan, 19:45
Nice
20 Full time
Marseille
Nice 2–0 Marseille

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 27%
Away 40%

💡 Marseille have a slight edge — leaning Marseille, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1550 v 1586 Marseille rated higher
Form Index WDWWL v WDWWD Nice 2.0 · Marseille 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1550 vs 1586).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.2 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Marseille
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Nice

Green = favours Nice · Blue = favours Marseille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NiceWDWWL2.0 ppg
MarseilleWDWWD2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Nice1550
Marseille1586
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 23% · 50%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning24% · 29% · 46%

AI match preview

Nice and Marseille face off in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 40% chance of victory, while a draw and home win are also plausible outcomes. The model projects a competitive match with an expected goals tally favoring Marseille (2.16) over Nice (1.58), and a 1-1 scoreline emerges as the most probable result. With a 72% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and 71% chance both teams score, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.58 – 2.16

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 71%

No 29%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Nice 2–0 Marseille
Sept 2024 Marseille 2–0 Nice