Monaco vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 1 Feb, 18:00
Monaco
42 Full time
Auxerre
Monaco 4–2 Auxerre

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (66%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 66%
Draw 18%
Away 16%

💡 Monaco are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 79.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 79.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1544 v 1472 Monaco rated higher
Form Index DLDLW v DLDLD Monaco 1.0 · Auxerre 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monaco v Auxerre

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Why we predict this

  • Monaco is the stronger side on Power Rating (1544 vs 1472).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
Monaco

Green = favours Monaco · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonacoDLDLW1.0 ppg
AuxerreDLDLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Monaco1544
Auxerre1472
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model63% · 21% · 16%
Power Rating59% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning70% · 18% · 13%

AI match preview

Monaco enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 66% probability of securing a home win against Auxerre, backed by a high confidence rating of 79/100. The model anticipates an attacking game with expected goals of 2.27 for Monaco and 1.08 for Auxerre, making a 2-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. With a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% probability both teams scoring, fans can expect an engaging contest; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.27 – 1.08

Most likely score

2-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stade Louis II Monaco, France Capacity 18,523 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Monaco 4–2 Auxerre
Sept 2024 Auxerre 0–3 Monaco