Lille vs St Etienne Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 1 Feb, 20:05
Lille
41 Full time
St Etienne
Lille 4–1 St Etienne

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 16%
Away 13%

💡 Lille are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 86.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 86.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1559 v 1430 Lille rated higher
Form Index DDDWL v LWLDD Lille 1.2 · St Etienne 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lille v St Etienne

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1559 vs 1430).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours St Etienne. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleDDDWL1.2 ppg
St EtienneLWLDD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1559
St Etienne1430
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model79% · 14% · 7%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning90% · 6% · 4%

AI match preview

Lille are strong favorites to secure a home win against St Etienne, with a 71% probability and a high confidence rating of 86.1/100. The model predicts an expected goals tally of 2.89 for Lille and 0.80 for St Etienne, suggesting a likely 2-0 scoreline. Over 2.5 goals has a 71% chance, while both teams scoring is slightly more uncertain at 53%. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.89 – 0.80

Most likely score

2-0

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 71%

Under 29%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Lille 4–1 St Etienne
Sept 2024 St Etienne 1–0 Lille