Toulouse vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 2 Feb, 14:00
Toulouse
11 Full time
Nice
Toulouse 1–1 Nice

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 28%
Away 40%

💡 Nice have a slight edge — leaning Nice, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1494 v 1566 Nice rated higher
Form Index WWLDL v DWWLW Toulouse 1.4 · Nice 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Nice

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Why we predict this

  • Nice is the stronger side on Power Rating (1566 vs 1494).
  • Nice is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nice
Form Index
Nice
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Nice. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseWWLDL1.4 ppg
NiceDWWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1494
Nice1566
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 30% · 35%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 37%
Machine-learning30% · 22% · 48%

AI match preview

Toulouse and Nice are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the visitors at 40% probability compared to 33% for the home side. Both teams are projected to score nearly equally, with expected goals of 1.29 and 1.27 respectively, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. While the chance of over 2.5 goals sits just under 50%, there is a 54% probability both teams will find the net, highlighting an intriguing match-up; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.27

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Toulouse 1–1 Nice
Aug 2024 Nice 1–1 Toulouse