Lille vs Le Havre Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 8 Feb, 18:00
Lille
12 Full time
Le Havre
Lille 1–2 Le Havre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (73%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 73%
Draw 16%
Away 11%

💡 Lille are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 88.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 88.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1569 v 1376 Lille rated higher
Form Index DDWLW v LLDLD Lille 1.6 · Le Havre 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lille v Le Havre

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1569 vs 1376).
  • Lille is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Le Havre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleDDWLW1.6 ppg
Le HavreLLDLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1569
Le Havre1376
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 24% · 16%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning73% · 15% · 12%

AI match preview

Lille enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 73% probability of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.99 to 0.93 over Le Havre. Despite the confidence in a Lille victory, the model suggests a most likely scoreline of 1-1, highlighting the potential for a closely contested match. With a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter—remember these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.99 – 0.93

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Lille 1–2 Le Havre
Sept 2024 Le Havre 0–3 Lille