Auxerre vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 9 Feb, 16:15
Auxerre
22 Full time
Toulouse
Auxerre 2–2 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 28%
Away 31%

💡 Auxerre have a slight edge — leaning Auxerre, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1462 v 1495 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index LDLDL v WLDLD Auxerre 0.4 · Toulouse 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1462 vs 1495).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Auxerre
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreLDLDL0.4 ppg
ToulouseWLDLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1462
Toulouse1495
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 34% · 20%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning60% · 23% · 18%

AI match preview

Auxerre hosts Toulouse in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, while a draw and away win stand at 28% and 31% respectively. The model projects a low-scoring affair with expected goals favoring Auxerre at 1.16 compared to Toulouse’s 0.69, yet the most likely scoreline remains 0-0, reflecting tight defenses. With only a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance that both teams score, this match may hinge on fine margins—remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.16 – 0.69

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Auxerre 2–2 Toulouse
Dec 2024 Toulouse 2–0 Auxerre