Brest vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Fri 14 Feb, 19:45
Brest
22 Full time
Auxerre
Brest 2–2 Auxerre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 29%
Away 23%

💡 Brest are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1502 v 1461 Brest rated higher
Form Index WWWLW v DLDLD Brest 2.4 · Auxerre 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brest v Auxerre

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Why we predict this

  • Brest is the stronger side on Power Rating (1502 vs 1461).
  • Brest is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.8 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestWWWLW2.4 ppg
AuxerreDLDLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1502
Auxerre1461
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model68% · 17% · 15%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning34% · 52% · 13%

AI match preview

Brest holds a 48% chance of securing a home win against Auxerre, with the model projecting a 2-1 scoreline reflecting their expected 2.85 goals to Auxerre's 1.36. There's a strong probability of an open match, as over 2.5 goals is favored at 79% and both teams scoring is likely at 71%. These statistical insights provide a data-driven view, but remember to gamble responsibly and only bet if you're 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.85 – 1.36

Most likely score

2-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 79%

Under 21%

Both teams to score

Yes 71%

No 29%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Brest 2–2 Auxerre
Sept 2024 Auxerre 3–0 Brest