Marseille vs St Etienne Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 15 Feb, 16:00
Marseille
51 Full time
St Etienne
Marseille 5–1 St Etienne

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (78%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 78%
Draw 13%
Away 9%

💡 Marseille are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1593 v 1402 Marseille rated higher
Form Index WDLWW v LDDLL Marseille 2.0 · St Etienne 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Marseille v St Etienne

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Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1593 vs 1402).
  • Marseille is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Marseille
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Marseille

Green = favours Marseille · Blue = favours St Etienne. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MarseilleWDLWW2.0 ppg
St EtienneLDDLL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Marseille1593
St Etienne1402
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model78% · 14% · 8%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning83% · 13% · 4%

AI match preview

Marseille enters this Ligue 1 clash with St Etienne as strong favorites, holding a 78% chance of securing a home win according to model projections. The expected goals heavily favor Marseille at 3.01 to 0.95, with a 3-0 scoreline emerging as the most probable outcome. Over 2.5 goals is likely at 76%, while both teams scoring is projected at 59%; remember these are statistical probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.01 – 0.95

Most likely score

3-0

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 76%

Under 24%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Marseille 5–1 St Etienne
Dec 2024 St Etienne 0–2 Marseille