Toulouse vs Paris SG Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 15 Feb, 20:05
Toulouse
01 Full time
Paris SG
Toulouse 0–1 Paris SG

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (63%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 18%
Draw 19%
Away 63%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 75.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1496 v 1687 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index LDLDD v WWDWW Toulouse 0.6 · Paris SG 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Paris SG

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1687 vs 1496).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Paris SG. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseLDLDD0.6 ppg
Paris SGWWDWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1496
Paris SG1687
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model15% · 23% · 62%
Power Rating28% · 16% · 57%
Machine-learning12% · 13% · 75%

AI match preview

Toulouse host Paris SG in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a 63% chance of victory, according to model projections. Despite the away win probability, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with an expected goal tally favoring Paris SG at 2.07 to Toulouse’s 0.95. Fans can anticipate a moderately open game, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% likelihood of both teams scoring; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.95 – 2.07

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Toulouse 0–1 Paris SG
Nov 2024 Paris SG 3–0 Toulouse