Lille vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 22 Feb, 16:00
Lille
21 Full time
Monaco
Lille 2–1 Monaco

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 25%
Away 33%

💡 Lille have a slight edge — leaning Lille, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1566 v 1558 Lille rated higher
Form Index WLWLW v LWWLW Lille 1.8 · Monaco 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lille v Monaco

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1566 vs 1558).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Monaco. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleWLWLW1.8 ppg
MonacoLWWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1566
Monaco1558
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 26% · 33%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 32%
Machine-learning39% · 24% · 37%

AI match preview

Lille and Monaco are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with Lille slightly favored at 42% to claim victory, while Monaco holds a 33% chance of winning. The model projects a tight match with an expected goals tally of 1.65 for Lille and 1.49 for Monaco, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. There’s a strong probability for goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 64% likelihood of both teams scoring; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.65 – 1.49

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Lille 2–1 Monaco
Oct 2024 Monaco 0–0 Lille