Auxerre vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 22 Feb, 20:05
Auxerre
30 Full time
Marseille
Auxerre 3–0 Marseille

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 22%
Away 56%

💡 Marseille are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1464 v 1601 Marseille rated higher
Form Index LDLDD v DLWWW Auxerre 0.6 · Marseille 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1601 vs 1464).
  • Marseille is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Marseille
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Marseille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreLDLDD0.6 ppg
MarseilleDLWWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1464
Marseille1601
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 28% · 51%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 48%
Machine-learning24% · 21% · 55%

AI match preview

Auxerre hosts Marseille in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a 56% probability of victory, supported by a confidence rating of 65.5 out of 100. Despite Marseille’s edge, the model suggests a closely contested match with an expected goals tally favoring the visitors 1.65 to 1.02, and the most likely scoreline being a 1-1 draw. There’s a balanced chance of over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams scoring (53%), highlighting a potentially competitive encounter; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.02 – 1.65

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Auxerre 3–0 Marseille
Nov 2024 Marseille 1–3 Auxerre