Nantes vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 23 Feb, 14:00
Nantes
31 Full time
Lens
Nantes 3–1 Lens

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 30%
Away 43%

💡 Lens have a slight edge — leaning Lens, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1435 v 1509 Lens rated higher
Form Index DDWLL v LWWLL Nantes 1.0 · Lens 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1509 vs 1435).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.4 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Lens
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Lens. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesDDWLL1.0 ppg
LensLWWLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1435
Lens1509
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 31% · 50%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning22% · 40% · 38%

AI match preview

Nantes welcome Lens in a Ligue 1 clash where the model favors an away win at 43%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 30%. Expected goals suggest a tight affair with Lens slightly ahead, projecting a most likely 0-1 scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily scoring, this match could hinge on a single moment—remember, these are statistical projections; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.79 – 1.41

Most likely score

0-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Nantes 3–1 Lens
Nov 2024 Lens 3–2 Nantes