Lens vs Le Havre Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 1 Mar, 18:00
Lens
34 Full time
Le Havre
Lens 3–4 Le Havre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 20%
Away 19%

💡 Lens are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1492 v 1366 Lens rated higher
Form Index WWLLL v LDWLL Lens 1.2 · Le Havre 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lens v Le Havre

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1492 vs 1366).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Lens
Home advantage
Lens

Green = favours Lens · Blue = favours Le Havre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LensWWLLL1.2 ppg
Le HavreLDWLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Lens1492
Le Havre1366
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 35% · 29%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning57% · 15% · 28%

AI match preview

Lens holds a 61% probability of securing a home win against Le Havre, with a closely matched expected goals tally of 1.06 to 0.91 suggesting a tight contest. Despite the home advantage, the model highlights a notable 20% chance of a draw and a modest 19% likelihood of an away victory, with a low 32% probability for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams scoring. These statistical projections indicate a potentially cautious encounter, so please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.06 – 0.91

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stade Bollaert-Delelis Lens, France Capacity 38,223 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Lens 3–4 Le Havre
Jan 2025 Le Havre 1–2 Lens