Auxerre vs Strasbourg Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 2 Mar, 16:15
Auxerre
01 Full time
Strasbourg
Auxerre 0–1 Strasbourg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 26%
Away 33%

💡 Auxerre have a slight edge — leaning Auxerre, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1488 v 1536 Strasbourg rated higher
Form Index DLDDW v WLWWD Auxerre 1.2 · Strasbourg 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Auxerre v Strasbourg

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Strasbourg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1536 vs 1488).
  • Strasbourg is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Strasbourg
Form Index
Strasbourg
Goal expectation
Auxerre
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Strasbourg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreDLDDW1.2 ppg
StrasbourgWLWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1488
Strasbourg1536
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 26% · 21%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning61% · 19% · 20%

AI match preview

Auxerre host Strasbourg in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, while a draw and away win stand at 26% and 33% respectively. The model projects 1.81 expected goals for Auxerre against Strasbourg’s 1.06, suggesting a competitive match with a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities hovering around 55-56%, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.06

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Auxerre 0–1 Strasbourg
Jan 2025 Strasbourg 3–1 Auxerre