Montpellier vs Rennes Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 2 Mar, 16:15
Montpellier
04 Full time
Rennes
Montpellier 0–4 Rennes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 26%
Away 43%

💡 Rennes have a slight edge — leaning Rennes, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1366 v 1459 Rennes rated higher
Form Index WLLLL v LWWLW Montpellier 0.6 · Rennes 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Rennes is the stronger side on Power Rating (1459 vs 1366).
  • Rennes is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rennes
Form Index
Rennes
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Montpellier

Green = favours Montpellier · Blue = favours Rennes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MontpellierWLLLL0.6 ppg
RennesLWWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Montpellier1366
Rennes1459
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 25% · 38%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 41%
Machine-learning39% · 25% · 37%

AI match preview

Montpellier host Rennes in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a 43% chance of victory, slightly edging the home team's 31%, with draws at 26%. The model anticipates a tight contest with an expected goals tally near 1.7 for both teams and a most likely scoreline of 1-1, reflecting balanced offensive output. With a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can expect an open game—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.71 – 1.73

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 67%

Under 33%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Montpellier 0–4 Rennes
Sept 2024 Rennes 3–0 Montpellier