Toulouse vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Fri 7 Mar, 19:45
Toulouse
11 Full time
Monaco
Toulouse 1–1 Monaco

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 27%
Away 42%

💡 Monaco have a slight edge — leaning Monaco, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1528 v 1559 Monaco rated higher
Form Index DDLWW v WLWLW Toulouse 1.6 · Monaco 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1528 vs 1559).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Monaco. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseDDLWW1.6 ppg
MonacoWLWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1528
Monaco1559
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 31% · 38%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning28% · 25% · 48%

AI match preview

Toulouse host Monaco in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 42%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with both sides likely to find the net, as reflected in the most probable 1-1 scoreline and a near 50% chance for both teams to score. With just a 42% probability for over 2.5 goals, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.09 – 1.26

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Toulouse 1–1 Monaco
Dec 2024 Monaco 2–0 Toulouse