Lille vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 8 Mar, 18:00
Lille
10 Full time
Montpellier
Lille 1–0 Montpellier

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (72%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 72%
Draw 17%
Away 11%

💡 Lille are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 87.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 87.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1566 v 1347 Lille rated higher
Form Index WLWWL v LLLLL Lille 1.8 · Montpellier 0.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lille v Montpellier

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1566 vs 1347).
  • Lille is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Montpellier. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleWLWWL1.8 ppg
MontpellierLLLLL0.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1566
Montpellier1347
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model78% · 16% · 6%
Power Rating74% · 12% · 14%
Machine-learning79% · 14% · 8%

AI match preview

Lille are strong favorites to secure a home win against Montpellier, with a 72% probability and a high confidence rating of 87.3/100. The model projects Lille to score around 2.45 goals while restricting Montpellier to just 0.59, making a 2-0 scoreline the most likely outcome. There’s a 59% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals, but only a 42% probability both teams will score; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.45 – 0.59

Most likely score

2-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Lille 1–0 Montpellier
Dec 2024 Montpellier 2–2 Lille