Le Havre vs St Etienne Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 9 Mar, 16:15
Le Havre
11 Full time
St Etienne
Le Havre 1–1 St Etienne

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 30%
Away 31%

💡 Le Havre have a slight edge — leaning Le Havre, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1383 v 1384 St Etienne rated higher
Form Index DWLLW v LLLDL Le Havre 1.4 · St Etienne 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Le Havre v St Etienne

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1383 vs 1384).
  • Le Havre is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Le Havre
Goal expectation
Le Havre
Home advantage
Le Havre

Green = favours Le Havre · Blue = favours St Etienne. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Le HavreDWLLW1.4 ppg
St EtienneLLLDL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Le Havre1383
St Etienne1384
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 27% · 33%
Power Rating46% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning22% · 50% · 28%

AI match preview

Le Havre hosts St Etienne in a closely matched Ligue 1 encounter, with the model giving the home side a slight edge at 38% to win compared to 31% for the visitors. Expected goals are tight as well, 1.55 for Le Havre and 1.41 for St Etienne, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. The match also leans towards being open, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% likelihood of both teams scoring; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.41

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Le Havre 1–1 St Etienne
Aug 2024 St Etienne 0–2 Le Havre