Reims vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 9 Mar, 16:15
Reims
02 Full time
Auxerre
Reims 0–2 Auxerre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 27%
Away 32%

💡 Reims have a slight edge — leaning Reims, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1410 v 1476 Auxerre rated higher
Form Index LLLLL v LDDWL Reims 0.0 · Auxerre 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Auxerre is the stronger side on Power Rating (1476 vs 1410).
  • Auxerre is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Auxerre
Form Index
Reims
Goal expectation
Reims
Home advantage
Reims

Green = favours Reims · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ReimsLLLLL0.0 ppg
AuxerreLDDWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Reims1410
Auxerre1476
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 26% · 32%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning53% · 19% · 29%

AI match preview

Reims and Auxerre face off in a closely matched Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 41% probability against a 32% chance for an away win. Both teams are projected to score, with an expected goals tally of 1.69 for Reims and 1.46 for Auxerre, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. There is a strong likelihood of goals, as over 2.5 goals and both teams to score stand at 61% and 64% respectively, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.46

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Reims 0–2 Auxerre
Oct 2024 Auxerre 2–1 Reims