Nice vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 9 Mar, 19:45
Nice
02 Full time
Lyon
Nice 0–2 Lyon

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (49%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 49%
Draw 25%
Away 25%

💡 Nice are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1605 v 1559 Nice rated higher
Form Index DWWWW v LWWLW Nice 2.6 · Lyon 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nice v Lyon

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Why we predict this

  • Nice is the stronger side on Power Rating (1605 vs 1559).
  • Nice is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nice
Form Index
Nice
Goal expectation
Nice
Home advantage
Nice

Green = favours Nice · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NiceDWWWW2.6 ppg
LyonLWWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Nice1605
Lyon1559
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 24% · 19%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning50% · 32% · 19%

AI match preview

Nice hosts Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 49% chance of victory, while a draw or away win both stand at 25%. The model projects nearly 2 goals for Nice against just over 1 for Lyon, suggesting an open game with a 59% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, despite the most likely scoreline being 1-1. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Nice 0–2 Lyon
Dec 2024 Lyon 4–1 Nice