Nice vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Fri 14 Mar, 19:45
Nice
11 Full time
Auxerre
Nice 1–1 Auxerre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 19%
Away 16%

💡 Nice are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 77.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1583 v 1492 Nice rated higher
Form Index WWWWL v DDWLW Nice 2.4 · Auxerre 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nice v Auxerre

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Why we predict this

  • Nice is the stronger side on Power Rating (1583 vs 1492).
  • Nice is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nice
Form Index
Nice
Goal expectation
Nice
Home advantage
Nice

Green = favours Nice · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NiceWWWWL2.4 ppg
AuxerreDDWLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Nice1583
Auxerre1492
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model75% · 16% · 10%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning76% · 17% · 7%

AI match preview

Nice enter this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 65% probability of securing a home win against Auxerre, supported by an expected goals advantage of 2.83 to 0.98. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline is most likely, with a 73% chance of the match producing over 2.5 goals and a 60% likelihood of both teams scoring. These projections highlight statistical tendencies, so please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.83 – 0.98

Most likely score

2-0

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 73%

Under 27%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Nice 1–1 Auxerre
Aug 2024 Auxerre 2–1 Nice