Nantes vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 15 Mar, 16:00
Nantes
10 Full time
Lille
Nantes 1–0 Lille

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (47%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 27%
Away 47%

💡 Lille are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1434 v 1569 Lille rated higher
Form Index LLWLL v LWWLW Nantes 0.6 · Lille 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nantes v Lille

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1569 vs 1434).
  • Lille is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesLLWLL0.6 ppg
LilleLWWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1434
Lille1569
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 32% · 45%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 48%
Machine-learning31% · 28% · 42%

AI match preview

Nantes host Lille in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a slight statistical edge with a 47% chance of victory, while a draw is marginally more probable than a home win. The model anticipates a tight contest, projecting an expected goals tally of 0.88 for Nantes and 1.31 for Lille, with 1-1 emerging as the most likely scoreline. Given the 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% probability of both teams scoring, fans should expect a competitive match with moderate scoring opportunities. Remember, these projections are based on statistical models — please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.31

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Nantes 1–0 Lille
Jan 2025 Lille 1–1 Nantes