Lyon vs Le Havre Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 16 Mar, 14:00
Lyon
42 Full time
Le Havre
Lyon 4–2 Le Havre

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (72%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 72%
Draw 16%
Away 13%

💡 Lyon are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 86.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 86.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1580 v 1381 Lyon rated higher
Form Index WWLWW v WLLWD Lyon 2.4 · Le Havre 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1580 vs 1381).
  • Lyon is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Le Havre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonWWLWW2.4 ppg
Le HavreWLLWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1580
Le Havre1381
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 23% · 20%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning74% · 13% · 13%

AI match preview

Lyon enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 72% probability of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.09 compared to Le Havre's 1.19. Despite the high confidence in a Lyon victory, the model surprisingly suggests a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline, highlighting potential competitive balance. With a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open and engaging match—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.09 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Lyon 4–2 Le Havre
Oct 2024 Le Havre 0–4 Lyon