Montpellier vs St Etienne Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 16 Mar, 16:15
Montpellier
02 Full time
St Etienne
Montpellier 0–2 St Etienne

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 25%
Away 30%

💡 Montpellier have a slight edge — leaning Montpellier, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1343 v 1386 St Etienne rated higher
Form Index LLLLL v LLDLD Montpellier 0.0 · St Etienne 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • St Etienne is the stronger side on Power Rating (1386 vs 1343).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
St Etienne
Form Index
Montpellier
Goal expectation
Montpellier
Home advantage
Montpellier

Green = favours Montpellier · Blue = favours St Etienne. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MontpellierLLLLL0.0 ppg
St EtienneLLDLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Montpellier1343
St Etienne1386
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 22% · 24%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning54% · 24% · 22%

AI match preview

Montpellier hosts St Etienne in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a 45% chance of victory, with the model favoring a 2-1 scoreline. Both teams are projected to find the net, as indicated by a 71% probability for BTTS, while the match is also expected to be relatively high-scoring with a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates and should be considered responsibly when making any betting decisions (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.29 – 1.50

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 73%

Under 27%

Both teams to score

Yes 71%

No 29%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Montpellier 0–2 St Etienne
Nov 2024 St Etienne 1–0 Montpellier