Strasbourg vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 16 Mar, 16:15
Strasbourg
21 Full time
Toulouse
Strasbourg 2–1 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 30%
Away 32%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1558 v 1527 Strasbourg rated higher
Form Index WWDWW v DLWWD Strasbourg 2.6 · Toulouse 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Strasbourg v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1558 vs 1527).
  • Strasbourg is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Strasbourg
Form Index
Strasbourg
Goal expectation
Strasbourg
Home advantage
Strasbourg

Green = favours Strasbourg · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StrasbourgWWDWW2.6 ppg
ToulouseDLWWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Strasbourg1558
Toulouse1527
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 32% · 31%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning28% · 45% · 27%

AI match preview

Strasbourg and Toulouse are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Strasbourg at 38% but also highlighting a strong 30% probability of a draw. Both teams are projected to score around one goal each, suggesting a balanced match likely to end in a 1-1 draw. With under 2.5 goals favored at 60% and a 48% chance of both teams scoring, this game could hinge on tight defenses and key moments. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Strasbourg 2–1 Toulouse
Jan 2025 Toulouse 1–2 Strasbourg