Strasbourg vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Fri 28 Mar, 19:45
Strasbourg
42 Full time
Lyon
Strasbourg 4–2 Lyon

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (37%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 27%
Away 36%

💡 Strasbourg have a slight edge — leaning Strasbourg, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 37.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1566 v 1586 Lyon rated higher
Form Index WDWWW v WLWWW Strasbourg 2.6 · Lyon 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1566 vs 1586).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Strasbourg
Goal expectation
Strasbourg
Home advantage
Strasbourg

Green = favours Strasbourg · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StrasbourgWDWWW2.6 ppg
LyonWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Strasbourg1566
Lyon1586
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 30% · 32%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning32% · 32% · 37%

AI match preview

Strasbourg and Lyon are set for a tightly contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 37%, closely followed by Lyon at 36%, and a draw at 27%. Expected goals suggest a narrow margin, with Strasbourg favored 1.35 to 1.20, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1, reflecting a balanced encounter. There's a moderate 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% probability both teams will score, underscoring the potential for an open game; remember, these projections are statistical and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.20

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Strasbourg 4–2 Lyon
Aug 2024 Lyon 4–3 Strasbourg