St Etienne vs Paris SG Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 29 Mar, 18:00
St Etienne
16 Full time
Paris SG
St Etienne 1–6 Paris SG

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (74%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 10%
Draw 16%
Away 74%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 90.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 90.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1404 v 1731 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 3.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1731 vs 1404).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
St Etienne

Green = favours St Etienne · Blue = favours Paris SG. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St EtienneLDLDW1.0 ppg
Paris SGWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
St Etienne1404
Paris SG1731
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model11% · 18% · 70%
Power Rating16% · 12% · 72%
Machine-learning5% · 25% · 70%

AI match preview

St Etienne faces a tough challenge at home against Paris SG, with the model giving the visitors a strong 74% chance of securing the win. The expected goals suggest Paris SG could net around 2.5 goals, while St Etienne might struggle to reach one, making a 0-2 scoreline the most probable outcome. There’s a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% likelihood both teams will score, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.97 – 2.53

Most likely score

0-2

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 68%

Under 32%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 St Etienne 1–6 Paris SG
Jan 2025 Paris SG 2–1 St Etienne