Toulouse vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 30 Mar, 15:00
Toulouse
24 Full time
Brest
Toulouse 2–4 Brest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 27%
Away 27%

💡 Toulouse are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1519 v 1500 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index LWWDL v DDLWD Toulouse 1.4 · Brest 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Brest

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1519 vs 1500).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseLWWDL1.4 ppg
BrestDDLWD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1519
Brest1500
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 32% · 24%
Power Rating50% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning46% · 25% · 30%

AI match preview

Toulouse hold a slight edge with a 47% chance of victory against Brest, who share a 27% probability of winning, while a draw is also pegged at 27%. The expected goals suggest a modest scoring affair, with Toulouse predicted to net 1.28 goals to Brest's 0.88, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With only a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance both teams will score, this match could be tightly contested; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.28 – 0.88

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Toulouse 2–4 Brest
Sept 2024 Brest 2–0 Toulouse