Auxerre vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 30 Mar, 17:15
Auxerre
10 Full time
Montpellier
Auxerre 1–0 Montpellier

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (62%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 62%
Draw 21%
Away 17%

💡 Auxerre are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1497 v 1326 Auxerre rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Auxerre is the stronger side on Power Rating (1497 vs 1326).
  • Auxerre is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Auxerre
Form Index
Auxerre
Goal expectation
Auxerre
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Montpellier. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreDWLWD1.6 ppg
MontpellierLLLLL0 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1497
Montpellier1326
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model75% · 20% · 6%
Power Rating70% · 12% · 18%
Machine-learning71% · 19% · 10%

AI match preview

Auxerre enter this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 62% probability of securing a home win against Montpellier, supported by an expected goals advantage of 2.00 to 0.41. The model suggests a most likely scoreline of 2-0, reflecting Auxerre’s defensive solidity and attacking edge, while the chances of both teams scoring or the match exceeding 2.5 goals remain relatively low. These projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly alongside your own judgement—gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.00 – 0.41

Most likely score

2-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 30%

No 70%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Auxerre 1–0 Montpellier
Sept 2024 Montpellier 3–2 Auxerre