Lyon vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 5 Apr, 21:05
Lyon
21 Full time
Lille
Lyon 2–1 Lille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 27%
Away 30%

💡 Lyon have a slight edge — leaning Lyon, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1572 v 1563 Lyon rated higher
Form Index LWWWL v WLWLW Lyon 1.8 · Lille 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1572 vs 1563).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonLWWWL1.8 ppg
LilleWLWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1572
Lille1563
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 29% · 30%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 32%
Machine-learning49% · 29% · 22%

AI match preview

Lyon and Lille are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving Lyon a 44% chance to claim victory, while a draw and Lille win stand at 27% and 30%, respectively. Expected goals are tight at 1.43 for Lyon and 1.21 for Lille, pointing to a probable 1-1 scoreline, with a 55% likelihood of both teams scoring. Over 2.5 goals has a near-even 49% chance, highlighting the potential for a competitive and balanced game; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.21

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Lyon 2–1 Lille
Nov 2024 Lille 1–1 Lyon