Lens vs St Etienne Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 6 Apr, 15:00
Lens
10 Full time
St Etienne
Lens 1–0 St Etienne

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 19%
Away 18%

💡 Lens are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 75.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1493 v 1396 Lens rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lens v St Etienne

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1493 vs 1396).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Lens
Home advantage
Lens

Green = favours Lens · Blue = favours St Etienne. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LensLLWWL1.2 ppg
St EtienneDLDWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lens1493
St Etienne1396
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 24% · 15%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning75% · 10% · 15%

AI match preview

Lens enters this Ligue 1 clash with a 63% probability of securing a home victory against St Etienne, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.93 compared to 0.87 for the visitors. Despite the home advantage, the model suggests a closely contested match with a 19% chance of a draw and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 53% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.93 – 0.87

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stade Bollaert-Delelis Lens, France Capacity 38,223 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Lens 1–0 St Etienne
Oct 2024 St Etienne 0–2 Lens