Toulouse vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 12 Apr, 19:00
Toulouse
12 Full time
Lille
Toulouse 1–2 Lille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 30%
Away 39%

💡 Lille have a slight edge — leaning Lille, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1491 v 1555 Lille rated higher
Form Index WDLLL v LWLWL Toulouse 0.8 · Lille 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1555 vs 1491).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseWDLLL0.8 ppg
LilleLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1491
Lille1555
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 33% · 41%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning33% · 31% · 36%

AI match preview

Toulouse host Lille in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 39%, though a draw remains a close possibility with a 30% chance. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, with both sides likely to score, reflected in a predicted 1-1 scoreline. With under 35% probability for over 2.5 goals and moderate confidence in Lille's edge, this matchup could hinge on fine margins—remember these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.90 – 1.18

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Toulouse 1–2 Lille
Oct 2024 Lille 2–1 Toulouse