St Etienne vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 13 Apr, 15:00
St Etienne
33 Full time
Brest
St Etienne 3–3 Brest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 25%
Away 45%

💡 Brest have a slight edge — leaning Brest, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1390 v 1532 Brest rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on St Etienne v Brest

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Why we predict this

  • Brest is the stronger side on Power Rating (1532 vs 1390).
  • Brest is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
St Etienne

Green = favours St Etienne · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St EtienneLDWLL0.8 ppg
BrestLWDWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
St Etienne1390
Brest1532
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 27% · 39%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 49%
Machine-learning33% · 29% · 38%

AI match preview

St Etienne host Brest in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a 45% chance to win, slightly ahead of a home victory at 30%, with draws at 25%. Both teams are projected to score, with a 61% probability for BTTS and an expected close scoreline around 1-1, while the match has a moderate 57% chance of producing over 2.5 goals. These figures suggest a competitive encounter with a slight edge to Brest, but as always, these are statistical projections—please bet responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.54

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 St Etienne 3–3 Brest
Aug 2024 Brest 4–0 St Etienne