Auxerre vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 13 Apr, 20:45
Auxerre
13 Full time
Lyon
Auxerre 1–3 Lyon

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 26%
Away 43%

💡 Lyon have a slight edge — leaning Lyon, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1514 v 1581 Lyon rated higher
Form Index LWDWW v WWWLW Auxerre 2.0 · Lyon 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Auxerre v Lyon

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1514).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Auxerre
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreLWDWW2.0 ppg
LyonWWWLW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1514
Lyon1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 30% · 27%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning39% · 27% · 35%

AI match preview

Auxerre hosts Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a 43% chance of victory, slightly favored by the model despite a modest confidence level of 46/100. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with 1.40 for Auxerre and 1.06 for Lyon, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With BTTS at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 45%, this match could see goals from both sides, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.06

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Auxerre 1–3 Lyon
Oct 2024 Lyon 2–2 Auxerre