Lille vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 20 Apr, 15:00
Lille
31 Full time
Auxerre
Lille 3–1 Auxerre

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 18%
Away 15%

💡 Lille are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 81.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 81.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1566 v 1497 Lille rated higher
Form Index WLWLW v WDWWL Lille 1.8 · Auxerre 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lille v Auxerre

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1566 vs 1497).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Auxerre
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleWLWLW1.8 ppg
AuxerreWDWWL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1566
Auxerre1497
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 23% · 17%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning74% · 12% · 15%

AI match preview

Lille enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 67% probability of securing a home win against Auxerre, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.13 to 1.06. Despite the home advantage, the model still suggests a competitive encounter with a 18% chance of a draw and a 59% likelihood both teams will score. With over 2.5 goals projected at 62%, fans can anticipate an engaging match, though these are statistical projections and all betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.13 – 1.06

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Lille 3–1 Auxerre
Jan 2025 Auxerre 0–0 Lille