Reims vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 20 Apr, 17:15
Reims
10 Full time
Toulouse
Reims 1–0 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 31%
Away 43%

💡 Toulouse have a slight edge — leaning Toulouse, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1435 v 1480 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Reims v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Toulouse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1480 vs 1435).
  • Reims is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Reims
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Reims

Green = favours Reims · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ReimsLDWLW1.4 ppg
ToulouseDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Reims1435
Toulouse1480
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 28% · 51%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning9% · 54% · 37%

AI match preview

Reims face Toulouse in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 43%, though a draw is the most probable single outcome at 31%. Expected goals suggest Toulouse may edge the scoring with 1.61 expected goals versus Reims' 0.97, but the most likely scoreline remains a 1-1 draw. With both teams to score at 51% and under 2.5 goals just under 50%, this match could be finely balanced—remember these projections are statistical estimates and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.97 – 1.61

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Reims 1–0 Toulouse
Nov 2024 Toulouse 1–0 Reims