Nantes vs Paris SG Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Tue 22 Apr, 20:45
Nantes
11 Full time
Paris SG
Nantes 1–1 Paris SG

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (69%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 13%
Draw 18%
Away 69%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 84.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 84.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1445 v 1742 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index LWLWL v WWWWW Nantes 1.2 · Paris SG 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1742 vs 1445).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Paris SG. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesLWLWL1.2 ppg
Paris SGWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1445
Paris SG1742
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model11% · 19% · 70%
Power Rating18% · 12% · 70%
Machine-learning6% · 23% · 71%

AI match preview

Nantes host Paris SG in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a strong 69% chance of victory, according to model projections, with an expected scoreline around 0-2. The game is anticipated to feature offensive action, as the expected goals stand at 0.90 for Nantes and 2.42 for Paris SG, while there’s a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance both teams will score. These statistical insights provide a snapshot of likely outcomes, but remember to enjoy the match responsibly and gamble only if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.90 – 2.42

Most likely score

0-2

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Nantes 1–1 Paris SG
Nov 2024 Paris SG 1–1 Nantes