Paris SG vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Fri 25 Apr, 20:45
Paris SG
13 Full time
Nice
Paris SG 1–3 Nice

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 19%
Away 15%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 78.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 78.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1736 v 1561 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index WWWWD v DLLDW Paris SG 2.6 · Nice 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Paris SG v Nice

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1736 vs 1561).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Paris SG

Green = favours Paris SG · Blue = favours Nice. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Paris SGWWWWD2.6 ppg
NiceDLLDW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Paris SG1736
Nice1561
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model67% · 19% · 13%
Power Rating70% · 12% · 18%
Machine-learning67% · 24% · 10%

AI match preview

Paris SG are favored to claim victory against Nice with a 65% probability, supported by a solid confidence rating of 78/100 from the model. The expected goals tally suggests a 2.47 to 1.05 advantage for the home side, making a 2-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. With a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging contest; remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.47 – 1.05

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 68%

Under 32%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Paris SG 1–3 Nice
Oct 2024 Nice 1–1 Paris SG