Le Havre vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 26 Apr, 19:00
Le Havre
11 Full time
Monaco
Le Havre 1–1 Monaco

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (65%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 14%
Draw 21%
Away 65%

💡 Monaco are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 77.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1380 v 1584 Monaco rated higher
Form Index LWWLL v WWLWD Le Havre 1.2 · Monaco 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Monaco is the stronger side on Power Rating (1584 vs 1380).
  • Monaco is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
Le Havre

Green = favours Le Havre · Blue = favours Monaco. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Le HavreLWWLL1.2 ppg
MonacoWWLWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Le Havre1380
Monaco1584
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model10% · 19% · 71%
Power Rating27% · 14% · 59%
Machine-learning7% · 39% · 55%

AI match preview

Monaco heads to Le Havre as the clear favorite with a 65% chance of securing an away win, backed by a confidence rating of 77/100. The model projects Monaco to score comfortably more goals, with an expected tally of 2.44 compared to Le Havre’s 0.87, making a 0-2 scoreline the most probable outcome. With a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter, though these predictions are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.87 – 2.44

Most likely score

0-2

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Le Havre 1–1 Monaco
Sept 2024 Monaco 3–1 Le Havre