Lens vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 27 Apr, 17:15
Lens
04 Full time
Auxerre
Lens 0–4 Auxerre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 24%
Away 24%

💡 Lens are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1498 v 1487 Lens rated higher
Form Index WLWLW v DWWLL Lens 1.8 · Auxerre 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lens v Auxerre

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1498 vs 1487).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Lens
Home advantage
Lens

Green = favours Lens · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LensWLWLW1.8 ppg
AuxerreDWWLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lens1498
Auxerre1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 30% · 30%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning37% · 30% · 34%

AI match preview

Lens holds a moderate edge with a 52% chance of securing a home win against Auxerre, while a draw or away victory each stand at 24%. The model suggests a closely contested match, projecting an expected goals tally of 1.37 for Lens and 1.14 for Auxerre, with 1-1 emerging as the most likely scoreline. With a 46% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance both teams will score, this game could offer balanced attacking opportunities—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.14

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stade Bollaert-Delelis Lens, France Capacity 38,223 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Lens 0–4 Auxerre
Dec 2024 Auxerre 2–2 Lens