Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 27 Apr, 17:15
Nantes
00 Full time
Toulouse
Nantes 0–0 Toulouse

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (34%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 34%
Away 36%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (34%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1451 v 1469 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index WLWLD v LLLLL Nantes 1.4 · Toulouse 0.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nantes v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1451 vs 1469).
  • Nantes is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Nantes
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesWLWLD1.4 ppg
ToulouseLLLLL0.0 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1451
Toulouse1469
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 32% · 40%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning11% · 58% · 31%

AI match preview

Nantes and Toulouse are set for a tightly contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving a slight edge to an away win at 36%, but a draw remains the most probable outcome at 34%. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring encounter, with a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline and both teams scoring in 47% of simulations. Over 2.5 goals looks less likely at 39%, indicating a match that could hinge on fine margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.01 – 1.25

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Nantes 0–0 Toulouse
Aug 2024 Toulouse 0–0 Nantes