Toulouse vs Rennes Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 3 May, 19:00
Toulouse
21 Full time
Rennes
Toulouse 2–1 Rennes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 24%
Away 32%

💡 Toulouse have a slight edge — leaning Toulouse, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1471 v 1484 Rennes rated higher
Form Index LLLLD v WLWWL Toulouse 0.2 · Rennes 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1471 vs 1484).
  • Rennes is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rennes
Form Index
Rennes
Goal expectation
Rennes
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Rennes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseLLLLD0.2 ppg
RennesWLWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1471
Rennes1484
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 28% · 39%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning59% · 9% · 32%

AI match preview

Toulouse and Rennes are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 45%, though a draw and an away victory remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score, reflected in a 58% chance of BTTS and an expected goal tally suggesting a tight 1-1 scoreline as the most likely result. With just over a 50% probability for over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.47

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Toulouse 2–1 Rennes
Nov 2024 Rennes 0–2 Toulouse