St Etienne vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 3 May, 21:05
St Etienne
13 Full time
Monaco
St Etienne 1–3 Monaco

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (58%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 19%
Draw 23%
Away 58%

💡 Monaco are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1401 v 1580 Monaco rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on St Etienne v Monaco

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Why we predict this

  • Monaco is the stronger side on Power Rating (1580 vs 1401).
  • Monaco is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
St Etienne

Green = favours St Etienne · Blue = favours Monaco. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St EtienneLLDWL0.8 ppg
MonacoWLWDD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
St Etienne1401
Monaco1580
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 26% · 50%
Power Rating28% · 17% · 55%
Machine-learning14% · 41% · 46%

AI match preview

St Etienne host Monaco in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a 58% chance of victory, according to the model, while a draw is slightly more likely than a home win. The expected goals suggest a moderately open game, with Monaco favored to edge the scoring at 1.83 expected goals against St Etienne's 1.24, though the most probable scoreline is a 1-1 stalemate. With a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging contest, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.83

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 St Etienne 1–3 Monaco
Aug 2024 Monaco 1–0 St Etienne